Venezuela Amendment 2009: Datanalisis and Consultores 21 polls

Authors:
José Alberto López Rafaschieri and Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net

The Datanalisis poll, taken in December 2008, showed the following results:

- 52% of respondents said they would vote against the amendment

- 37.7% in favor

With a margin of error of 2.72%.

While a Consultores 21 poll, also taken in December 2008, showed this data:

- 56.8% said they would vote “No” to the amendment

- 41.8% would vote Yes

With a margin of error of 3.2%.

The two surveys provide a considerable advantage for the “No”. And in both outcomes, even adding the margin error to the “Yes”, the “NO” wins. This leaves almost no hope for the Chavez amendment, according to these measurements.

Update: Datanalisis’s January poll showed the following results: 51 percent of Venezuelans support the amendment, while 48 percent are against it. The poll of 1,300 households has a margin of error of 2.72 percentage points.

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