Authors:
Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri and José Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net
Juan Manuel Santos won the first round in Colombia, as we expected, despite the fact that Gallup, Ipsos and the major Colombian pollsters predicted that Antanas Mockus and Santos would end up technically tied in the first round election.
These large pollsters want to blame their methodological errors on the National Electoral Council's prohibition of not allowing the publication of last week's results, but it seems unreasonable to assume that the voting intention has changed so drastically in few days.
These polling firms also predicted that Mockus would win the second round, however, for the second part of this election, we continue to believe that Santos should dominate the race, probably getting more support than before because he is now the favorite.
Related articles:
- Expectation for Colombia's presidential election
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