Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Expectation for Colombia's presidential election

Authors:
José Alberto López Rafaschieri and Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net

Juan Manuel Santos comes from being one of the key players of the most successful government that Colombia has had in the past 20 years. The terms of Alvaro Uribe can be criticized because of employment and public health policies, but on the main issue of this time in Colombia, security, Uribe's achievements are unquestionable. Santos has the edge in this, since his election would ensure the continuity of policies that gave Uribe his high levels of popularity.

In addition, the Partido de la U's candidate is a hard-liner when it comes to addressing issues related to national security, topics that in our view will decide this election. Mockus has recently tried to present himself as a leader that will not cede power to the guerrillas and Colombia's enemies, but he has failed to match the strong image that Santos demonstrates in these matters.

Therefore, if we had to choose a favorite for this election, we would say that Santos has a better chance of winning the presidency of Colombia in the second round, although for now the major polling firms are predicting Mockus' victory.


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- Polls for Colombia's presidential election

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