Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Polls for Nicaragua's presidential election

Authors:
José Alberto López Rafaschieri and Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net

The upcoming November 6 there will be general election in Nicaragua to choose the president and parliament, event in which the main Central American ally of the ALBA, Daniel Ortega, will seek re-election despite the fact that none of the 202 articles of the Constitution of that country states that a president may be reelected.

Although the incumbent president's desire to be reelected is not permitted by the laws, but by an unfounded interpretation made ​​by the Nicaraguan judiciary, the data produced by recent opinion surveys indicate that the favorite to succeed in these elections is Daniel Ortega, with 44% of voting intentions. He is followed by the opponents Fabio Gadea Mantilla, with 32%, and Arnoldo Alemán, with 13% . These figures come from the study conducted by Gallup in September this year.

Note that the opposition to Ortega's government could capitalize about 45% of the voting intention if it were not divided, which technically would tie the contest, however, has not yet been announced any alliance between these factions. Maybe they need to withstand 13 years of XXI Century Socialism, as Venezuelans, so that these parties understand that they themselves have no chance against the Neocastrista movement of Latin America.


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2 comments:

  1. Hopefully the polls are incorrect and the people are afraid to express their preference in public. Ortega, like Hugo Chavez, bends the rules to gain personal wealth and power.

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  2. Ortega's government is stained by corruptions scandals and power abuse, but the opposition made its part in the last election, as we had warned. The dissident parties should understand that unity is a sine qua non condition to resist the authoritarian regime of the current president.

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