Authors:
José Alberto López Rafaschieri and Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net
On September 28, 2008, Ecuadorans approved a new constitution by popular referendum, consequently, elections for President and Congress must be held and Ecuadoran authorities set the date for those elections on April 26, 2009.
The new constitution will not count the current term of office of President Rafael Correa for the purpose of reelection -Ecuador allows one immediate reelection- so if Correa is elected in the upcoming elections, he may be reelected for a second term in 2013.
According to an opinion poll taken in January by CEDATOS and Gallup, Rafael Correa will be elected president again in next April, as his popular support is around 70%. This survey was conducted by interviewing 1250 Ecuadoran adults and has a margin of error of 3.4%.
Regarding the race for Ecuador's congressional seats, Rafael Correa's party -Alianza PAIS- also has wide popular support, suggesting that this political figure will continue guiding Ecuadorans toward his centralist system.
Update of March 6, 2009
A poll released by Informe Confidencial, conducted from February 28 to March 1, showed these results: Rafael Correa had 47% support, Alvaro Noboa 13%, Lucio Gutierrez 10% and 13% of respondents said they would spoil their ballots.
The poll surveyed 854 people in Quito and Guayaquil, Ecuador's two largest cities. Margin of error is 3,4%.
Update of March 29, 2009
Santiago Pérez Investigaciones y Estudios made a survey on March 21, 2009. According to this poll, Rafael Correa has 52% of voters, Lucio Gutiérrez 12%, Álvaro Noboa 11%, Martha Roldós 8% and 17% would vote blank. Sample size of 1700 Ecuadorians. Margin of error of 3%.
Related articles:
- Correa's energy policy is causing havoc in Ecuador
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