Authors:
Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri and José Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net
Next June 28, 2009 Argentines will elect half the 256-members chamber of deputies and a third of the 72-member Senate. One of the points to be considered in this electoral process is that it appears that, from that day, the Kirchner regime will suffer its biggest electoral defeat ever, which will substantially reconfigure Argentine politics.
This assertion is based on the fact that according to all opinion surveys, even in the most conservative case, the opposition to the government of Cristina Fernandez will get 57% of Congress seats. A result that would destroy the so far permanent parliamentary majority held by the Kirchners.
Kirchner's party is Frente para la Victoria, while the two more strongly opposing organizations are Union Pro and Union Civica Radical. The main figure of Union Pro is Francisco De Narvaez, while for Union Civica Radical is Margarita Stolbizer.
It is important that this electoral landscape, where the combined forces of Cristina Fernandez's opposition keep 57% of Congress seats, is based on opinion surveys that were conducted mainly in Buenos Aires and the country's main provinces, suggesting that the situation could be more favorable for the opposition in the countryside, considering that Argentine agricultural regions represent geographically the most antagonist sector to the national government.
Furthermore, it should be added that President Fernandez is in her worst moment of popular acceptance, with only 30% of the electorate supporting her administration, which makes things worse for the government.
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