Restoration of relations between Colombia and Venezuela in April 2009: Chavez's political motivation

Authors:
Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri and José Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net

Besides the economic reasons we explained last week, another factor that must be influencing Chavez's decision to restore relations with Uribe's government, is the fact that those who were entrusted to import the “Bolivarian” political model into Colombia were not achieving any result:

The FARC and other socialist armies are losing the war, despite the political, economic, geographic and military assistance they have received from the Chavista government.

Piedad Cordoba is not the caliber of a Hugo Chavez, Evo Morales or Rafael Correa. So she would not win the presidency of Colombia, not even with one thousand Antonini Wilson-type briefcases.

And in the rest of Colombian leftist leaders neither candidate has the capacity to be a good Chavez's lieutenant.

Thus, the current Venezuelan president has no choice but to habituate his mind to the idea that Uribe will win a third term, or failing that, an Uribista successor will take his place. Therefore Chavez needs to maintain a fragile understanding with the Colombian government, until opportunities improve in Colombia, or until the next presidential tantrum, because as we all know, Chavista diplomacy is a matter of emotions.

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