Authors:
José Alberto López Rafaschieri and Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net
Uruguayans will go to the polls on October 25, 2009 to elect a new president and members of the legislature. According to the latest opinion poll, Jose Mujica is the favorite to be elected president, the candidate of the Progressive Encounter-Broad Front (EP-FA) from which the current Uruguayan president, Tabare Vazquez, is also member.
In the study conducted by Factum from July 24 to 29, 2009, Uruguayans expressed that if elections for president and parliament were held at that time, they would vote as follows: 45% by the Broad Front, 38% for the National Party, 9% for the Red Party, 1% for the Independent Party and 6.5% are undecided. Margin of error is 3.3%.
However, while this study indicates that there will be a close election and that the current ruling party would remain in control of the Uruguay presidency, we can note that, given these results, a coalition between the National and Colorado parties -both opponents- would give a small majority to the opposition in Congress.
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