Authors:
José Alberto López Rafaschieri and Luis Alberto López Rafaschieri
www.morochos.net
The next March 15th Salvadorans will come to the polling stations to elect a new president. Following are the studies about the preferences of voters for this election:
According to a poll by Consulta Mitofsky released on February 07, 2009. 37.7 per cent of respondents would vote for Mauricio Funes of the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN), while 35.1 per cent would support Rodrigo Ávila of the ruling Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA) and 18,9 per cent are not sure. This survey was made using face-to-face interviews with 1,000 Salvadoran adults, conducted from Jan. 23 to Jan. 25, 2009. The margin of error is 3.2 per cent.
But a more recent survey carried out between 12 and 16 February by Jabes Market Research, had the following results: Rodrigo Avila 40%, Mauricio Funes 37% and 23% do not know who to vote for, with a margin of error of 2,75%. The study was conducted among 1501 voters. This is the first time the ARENA's candidate are leading a poll.
Update of March 3, 2009
Borge & Asociados made a new survey from February 16 to February 22, 2009. The results were: Rodrigo Avila 40,9%, Mauricio Funes 40,0%, Undecided 19,1%. Sample size of 1200 Salvadorans. Margin of error of 2,8%.
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